ChrionML® Research Monitor · October 2026
8 cities published4 applied ML projects64 city goal
Research archiveLatest findingsCity forecastsApplied MLMethodsResearch leadPartnerships
Independent quantitative research

Evidence for better decisions.

ChrionML® transforms Zillow’s published ZHVI market histories into quality-checked datasets, independently evaluated forecasts, and decision-ready findings—with transparent methods, limitations, and source links.

64-city intelligence · research archive

Four matchups. Eight city models.

Explore four published matchups covering eight condo markets, with model forecasts, validation results, and source data. Forecast target months are labeled for each study.

Featured research · Week 04Published · October 14, 2026

Brooklyn vs. Philadelphia

Editorial city photograph representing Brooklyn; geographic ZIP boundary not independently verified
Brooklyn · 11201
$1,308,132
+0.16% forecast
Editorial city photograph representing Philadelphia; geographic ZIP boundary not independently verified
Philadelphia · 19107
$257,048
-0.29% forecast
Brooklyn leads forecast index value; Philadelphia has lower scale-adjusted backtest error (0.170% vs. 0.285%).
October 2026 · Holt damped trend / Holt damped trend
Explore Week 4 box score →
Featured research · Week 03Published

Back Bay vs. Hanover

Editorial city photograph representing Back Bay; geographic ZIP boundary not independently verified
Back Bay · 02116
$1,300,581
+0.12% forecast
Editorial city photograph representing Hanover; geographic ZIP boundary not independently verified
Hanover · 03755
$521,201
+0.00% forecast
Back Bay leads forecast index value; Hanover leads historical appreciation (+57.5% vs. +10.77%).
September 2026 · Drift / Last Value Baseline
Explore Week 3 box score →
Featured research · Week 02Published

Cambridge vs. Ithaca

Editorial city photograph representing Cambridge; geographic ZIP boundary not independently verified
Cambridge · 02139
$888,570
+0.19% forecast
Editorial city photograph representing Ithaca; geographic ZIP boundary not independently verified
Ithaca · 14850
$289,770
+0.00% forecast
Cambridge leads forecast index value; Ithaca leads historical appreciation (+29.5% vs. +17.8%).
September 2026 · Drift / Last Value Baseline
Explore Week 2 box score →
Featured research · Week 01Published

Boston vs. Providence

Editorial city photograph representing Boston; geographic ZIP boundary not independently verified
Boston · 02114
$779,306
+0.06% forecast
Editorial city photograph representing Providence; geographic ZIP boundary not independently verified
Providence · 02903
$438,308
+0.44% forecast
Boston leads forecast index value; Providence leads historical appreciation (+53.2% vs. +4.9%).
September 2026 · Drift / Drift
Explore Week 1 box score →
SIGNATURE INTERACTIVE EXPERIENCE · WEEK 01 RESEARCH BETA

Don't just read the forecast. Run the model.

Explore published condo-market research, train an experimental forecasting model in your browser, and evaluate forecasts against a baseline. Boston vs. Providence is live; additional markets will launch after validation.

WEEK 01 · LIVE LABBoston vs. Providence

Interactive model, holdout evaluation, published research.

Run model ↗
WEEK 02 · LAB PLANNEDCambridge vs. Ithaca

Published research available. Interactive model pending validation.

Read research ↗
WEEK 03 · LAB PLANNEDBack Bay vs. Hanover

Published research available. Interactive model pending validation.

Read research ↗

The browser-based demonstration is separate from the published multi-model research protocol. Forecasts are exploratory, not investment advice.

Latest city research

Week 4 · Eight published city models across four matchups

NEXT-MONTH FORECAST$1.301M$521KBACK BAYHANOVERPRICE RATIO 2.50×
Finding 01 · Price

Back Bay wins the price comparison

The September 2026 forecast is $1,300,581 versus $521,201 for Hanover. This is a modeled index-level comparison, not an investment recommendation.

N = 80 per city · One-month horizon
Inspect the forecast →
PROJECTED MONTHLY CHANGE+0.12%0.00%BACK BAYHANOVER
Finding 02 · Momentum

Back Bay carries a modest month-ahead edge

Drift implies +0.12% for Back Bay, while Hanover’s selected Last Value model remains flat. Both estimates carry forecast uncertainty.

September 2026 forecast
Review uncertainty →
GROWTH SINCE JANUARY 2020+10.77%+57.50%JAN 2020 = 100
Finding 03 · Trajectory

Hanover leads observed cumulative growth

Hanover rose 57.50% over the observed window versus 10.77% for Back Bay, despite its materially lower price level.

Observed history · Jan 2020–Aug 2026
Read the interpretation →
SELECTED-MODEL MAE · LOWER IS BETTERBACK BAY · DRIFT$2,833HANOVER · LAST VALUE$2,312
Finding 04 · Method

Different models win in different markets

Drift narrowly improves on the baseline in Back Bay. In Hanover, Last Value is the most accurate candidate across the rolling evaluation.

44 expanding-window backtests per city
Compare model evidence →

Applied machine-learning projects

Real data. Reproducible evaluation. Operational context.

Project 01 · Forecasting

From published market history to decision-ready evidence

ChrionML® locates the appropriate Zillow ZHVI geography and housing-type series, compiles and quality-checks the monthly dataset, compares time-series candidates, runs chronological backtests, quantifies uncertainty, and publishes the findings.

Zillow ZHVI source data · ChrionML® Python workflow, modeling, evaluation and interpretation
Read the methodology →
Project 02 · Scientific AI

Scientific methods, operationalized

A platform proof of concept that converts experimental workflows into governed, versioned, observable services consumable by scientists and autonomous tools.

MLOps · API contracts · Governance · Observability
Explore the platform →
Research standard

Source data and research outputs stay distinct

Zillow publishes the underlying ZHVI series. ChrionML® performs property-type selection, dataset construction, QA, modeling, backtesting, uncertainty analysis, interpretation, and publication. Each box score links to its market sources.

Traceable provenance · Repeatable protocol · Independent analysis
Review the standard →

The 64-city research program

Scale deliberately, publish transparently

Program progress

Four markets complete. A reusable system is taking shape.

The objective is not simply to publish 64 forecasts. It is to build a comparable evidence base across markets—using consistent evaluation, clear local context, and a production workflow that can scale without sacrificing rigor.

4 / 64 cities published

Next phase: validate the publishing workflow across additional Northeast markets before expanding regionally.

01
Boston, MA
Forecast and box score
Published
02
Providence, RI
Forecast and box score
Published
03
Cambridge, MA
Forecast and box score
Published
04
Ithaca, NY
Forecast and box score
Published
Research partnerships

Bring a market, dataset, or decision problem.

We are building partnerships around local data access, independent model validation, sponsored city research, and applied machine-learning systems. Every engagement starts with a defined question and an evidence plan.

Start a partnership conversation
Data partnersImprove coverage, granularity, and local context.
Research partnersCo-design studies and independently review methods.
City sponsorsSupport a transparent market forecast and publication.